Announcements! ( See All )

Week 1

Getting Started

Week 2

Conditioning

Week 3

Random Variables

Week 4

More About Random Variables

Week 5

Expectation & the Power of Additivity

Week 6

Variability

Week 7

A Path to Prediction

Week 8

Midterm Week

Week 9

Central Limit Theorem

Week 10

Spring Break

Week 11

Inference

Week 12

Continous Random Variables

Week 13

Bias, Variance, and Least Squares

Week 14

Inference in Regression

Week 15

Overflow and Review

WeekDateContentNotes & Assignments
1 1/17 No School
1/18 1.1: Intro, Basics Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
Gradescope How-To
1/19 Discussion HW 1 (Due 1/26)


1/20 1.2, 1.3, 2.1: Axioms, Intersections Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
1/21 Exam Prep 01
Solutions
2 1/24 Disucussion Worksheet
1/25 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.5: Bounds, Axioms, Independence Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
1/26 Discussion Worksheet
HW 2 (Due 2/2)
HW 1 Solutions
1/27 2.2, 2.3, 2.4, 2.5: Multiplication Rule, Symmetries in Sampling, Bayes' Rule Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
1/28 Weekly Quiz 1 (1, 2.1) Exam Prep 02
Solutions
3 1/31 Discussion
2/1 2.3, 2.4, 3.1, 3.2: Symmetries in Sampling, Bayes' Rule, Intro to RV Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/2 Discussion Worksheet
HW 3 (Due 2/9)
HW 2 Solutions
2/3 3.2, 3.3: Random Variables and Their Distributions Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/4 Weekly Quiz 2 (2.2-2.4) Exam Prep 03
Solutions
4 2/7 Discussion Worksheet
2/8 3.3, 3.4: Special Distributions (Binomial, Hypergeom) Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/9 Discussion Worksheet
HW 4 (Due 2/16)
HW 3 Solutions
2/10 3.5, 4.1, 4.2: CDFs, Waiting times, RVs w/ Infinitely Many Values Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/11 Weekly Quiz 3 (2.4, 3.1-3.5) Exam Prep 04
Solutions
5 2/14 Discussion Worksheet
2/15 4.1, 4.2: CDFs, Waiting Times Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/16 Discussion Worksheet
HW 5 (Due 2/23)
HW 4 Solutions
2/17 4.2, 4.3, 4.4: Exponential Approximations, Poisson RVs Pre-Lecture Notes
Annotated Slides
2/18 Weekly Quiz 4 Exam Prep 05
Solutions
6 2/21 Holiday
2/22 4.4, 5.1, 5.2, 5.3: Sums of Poisson, Expectation, Functions of RVS, Indicators, Unbiased Estimators. Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/23 Discussion Worksheet
HW 6 (Due 3/2)
HW 5 Solutions
2/24 5.2, 5.3: finished up joint distributions, indicators Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
2/25 Weekly Quiz 5 Exam Prep 06
Solutions
7 2/28 Discussion Worksheet
3/1 5.3, 5.4: Finished up indicators, with problems, unbiased estimators, German tank problem Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
3/2 Discussion Worksheet
HW 7 (Due 3/18)
HW 6 Solutions
3/3 5.5, 5.6: conditional expectation, computing expectation using conditioning Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Lecture Slides
3/4 Weekly Quiz 6 Exam Prep 07
Solutions
8 3/7 Discussion Worksheet
3/8 Finishing Up, Midterm Review Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Lecture Slides
3/9 Discussion


3/10 Midterm (1.1-5.6)
3/11

9 3/14 No Discussion
3/15 6.1, 6.2: definition of variance, Measuring variability, Markov's and Chebyshev's inequalities Pre-Lecture Slides (6.1-6.2)
Pre-Lecture Slides (6.3-6.4)
Annotated Slides
3/16 Discussion Worksheet


3/17 6.3, 6.4, 7.1: sums of independent RVs Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
3/18 Exam Prep 08
Solutions
10 3/21 Spring Break
3/22 Spring Break
3/23 Spring Break

3/24 Spring Break
3/25 Spring Break
11 3/28 Discussion Worksheet
3/29 7.2, 7.3, 8.1: Reviewed inequalities, sampling w/o replacement, the law of averages Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
3/30 Discussion Worksheet
HW 8 (Due 4/06)
HW 7 Solutions
3/31 7.3,8.1, 8.2, 8.3, 8.4: finish up the law of averages, Dsn of a sample sum, the normal distribution, and sample sums, the Central Limit Theorem Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/1 Exam Prep 09
Solutions
12 4/4 Discussion Worksheet
4/5 8.4, 9.1: finish CLT & intro to hypothesis tests Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/6 Discussion Worksheet
HW 9 (Due 4/13)
HW 8 Solutions
4/7 9.2, 9.3, 9.4: p-values discussion, A/B testing Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/8 Weekly Quiz 7 (Chapters 6,7)

13 4/11 Discussion Worksheet
4/12 9.3: Confidence intervals Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/13 Discussion Worksheet
HW 10 (Due 4/20)
HW 9 Solutions
4/14 9.4: Further discussion of confidence intervals Annotated Slides
4/15 Weekly Quiz 8 (Chapters 8,9) Exam Prep 10
Solutions
14 4/18 Discussion Worksheet
4/19 10.1, 10.2, 10.3: Continuous rvs, pdf, cdf, expected value and variance, special distributions Annotated Slides
4/20 Discussion Worksheet
Homework 11 (Due 4/27)
HW 10 Solutions
4/21 10.4, 11.1, 11.2: finish chapter 10, introduce bias-variance and revisit the German Tank problem Annotated Slides
4/22 Weekly Quiz 9 (9.3, 9.4) Exam Prep 11
Solutions
15 4/25 Discussion Worksheet
4/26 11.3, 11.4, 11.5: Least squares regression, correlation, regression errors Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/27 Discussion Worksheet
HW 12 (Due 5/04)
HW 11 Solutions
4/28 12.1, 12.2: simple linear regression model, inference on the slope estimate. Pre-Lecture Slides
Annotated Slides
4/29 Weekly Quiz 10 (Chapter 11)

5/04 RRR Week Review
Exam Prep 12
Solutions
HW 12 Solutions